The Dual-Track Chip Trade in a Decoupling World

Overview
Semiconductors are ground zero in U.S.–China economic rivalry. The world is witnessing a split: one track led by U.S.-aligned supply chains, another by China’s self-sufficiency push.

Key Trends

  • U.S. CHIPS Act and export controls against Chinese firms
  • China’s “Made in China 2025” acceleration in chip design, foundries
  • New hubs in South Korea, Taiwan, Arizona, Germany

Risks

  • Supply chain duplication raises costs
  • Emerging nations caught in the middle (e.g., Malaysia, Vietnam)
  • Potential for fragmentation in global standards

Takeaway
A bifurcated chip world is forming—techno-nationalism is shaping silicon geopolitics.